兩周前的新聞. 供日後參考用.
環球股市熾熱,港股5個交易日勁升逾1000點,美國道指、標普500及納指最近均曾見新高。投資銀行未有因此十分看好,反而提出不少警告,美銀美林就列出4大訊號,請投資者小心,而現時市況與部份訊號已很接近。
Business Insider引述美銀美林分析稱,4大訊號包括美國國內生產總值(GDP)預測增長超過3%,工資通脹上升超過3%,10年期國債息率超過3厘,以及標普500指數升穿3000點。
The firm, which has repeatedly warned of investor overexuberance, has identified what it sees as the perfect storm for a stock market correction — traditionally defined as a 10% selloff — and it involves four different metrics crossing particular thresholds.
According to BAML's analysis, such a reckoning will occur once (1) real gross domestic product (GDP) forecasts rise above 3%, (2) wage inflation climbs higher than 3%, (3) the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 3%, and (4) the benchmark S&P 500 surges above the 3,000 level.
Sell-off
Sell off